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Capability Brief

Export Quality & Upgrading

The capacity to climb the value ladder: moving the export basket toward more complex, higher-value and harder-to-imitate products, deliberately and continuously.

Indicators
4
Leaders
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8capabilities
Developments
21
Definition

What Export Quality & Upgrading is, and how it is measured

The capacity to climb the value ladder: moving the export basket toward more complex, higher-value and harder-to-imitate products, deliberately and continuously.

Indicators

  • High-tech export share
  • Knowledge-intensive export share
  • Export unit value growth
  • Export quality ladder position
Leaders

The nations that lead in Export Quality & Upgrading

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These ratings stand in until the capability is rated.

#NationRating
1ChinaAAA
2United StatesAA
3United KingdomAA
4South KoreaA
5DenmarkA
6FinlandA
7NetherlandsBBB
8ItalyBBB
9JapanBB
10IsraelBB
Related

The capabilities most like Export Quality & Upgrading

Likeness, from 0 to 1, as the Atlas measures it.

Developments

How Export Quality & Upgrading came to be

  • Geopolitical
  • Governance
  • Technology
  • Economy

Historical Developments

Oldest first
  1. 1337 · 689 years ago

    Edward III banned the export of raw English wool

    The policy pushed weavers and merchants to build a domestic cloth-making industry, and English exports shifted over the following two centuries from raw wool to finished and dyed cloth, one of the earliest recorded cases of deliberate export upgrading.

  2. 1651 · 375 years ago

    England passed the Navigation Acts to control colonial trade

    Requiring goods to move on English ships and through English ports pushed processing, shipping and re-export earnings toward the home economy rather than foreign carriers, an early instance of a state capturing value-added activity through trade law.

  3. 1868 · 158 years ago

    Japan began the Meiji industrial modernisation drive

    The new government imported foreign technology and expertise wholesale, built state-owned model factories and shipyards, and deliberately shifted the country's exports from raw silk and tea toward manufactured textiles, ships and machinery within a generation.

  4. 1935 · 91 years ago

    Kaname Akamatsu outlined the flying geese pattern of industrial development

    The model described how manufacturing capacity and export sophistication migrate in sequence from a lead economy to followers, a pattern later used to explain Japan, then Korea and Taiwan, then China and Vietnam climbing the same ladder.

  5. 1949 · 77 years ago

    Raul Prebisch set out the terms-of-trade thesis for commodity exporters

    His work for the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America argued that countries exporting raw materials faced structurally worsening terms of trade against manufactured goods, giving intellectual grounding to decades of import-substitution and export-upgrading policy.

  6. 1973 · 53 years ago

    South Korea launched its Heavy and Chemical Industry Drive

    State-directed credit and investment shifted the economy from light manufacturing such as textiles and wigs toward steel, shipbuilding, machinery and petrochemicals, laying the industrial base for the country's later move into electronics and automobiles.

  7. 1980 · 46 years ago

    Taiwan opened the Hsinchu Science-based Industrial Park

    Tax breaks and proximity to research institutes drew electronics and semiconductor firms into a single cluster, giving Taiwan a template for moving from low-cost manufacturing into higher-value, technology-intensive production and exports.

  8. 1993 · 33 years ago

    The World Bank published The East Asian Miracle report

    The study distilled how Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong had deliberately climbed from light manufacturing to capital and technology-intensive exports, shaping development orthodoxy on state-guided industrial upgrading for a generation of policymakers.

  9. 2007 · 19 years ago

    Ricardo Hausmann and Cesar Hidalgo introduced the product space model of economic complexity

    Their research mapped which products countries could feasibly move into based on existing capabilities, giving policymakers and economists a rigorous way to measure and predict export basket upgrading rather than relying on case studies alone.

  10. 2009 · 17 years ago

    Hidalgo and Hausmann published the original formulation of the Economic Complexity Index in PNAS

    The first formulation of the Economic Complexity Index appeared in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. It measured the productive capabilities of economies by treating the knowledge available in a location as the average knowledge of the activities present there, with a product-side counterpart in the Product Complexity Index. This gave analysts a quantitative basis for judging whether a country's export basket was upgrading toward more complex goods.

  11. 2015 · 11 years ago

    China launched the Made in China 2025 strategy

    The programme set targets for shifting the country's manufacturing and export base from low-cost assembly toward advanced sectors including robotics, aerospace, semiconductors and electric vehicles, formalising an explicit state strategy for climbing the value chain.

Recent Developments

Most recent first
  1. January 2026 · 7 months ago

    Bangladesh pressed export diversification beyond ready-made garments

    A government seminar backed by the World Bank-funded Export Competitiveness for Jobs project set out support for leather, footwear, light engineering and plastics, part of a drive toward a $100 billion export target by 2030 and away from over-reliance on the garment sector.

  2. Early 2026 · 6 months ago

    Morocco's aerospace sector graduated from subcontracting to high-value manufacturing

    Exports rose 12.6% to nearly $871 million in the first quarter as 155 companies clustered around the Midparc zone near Casablanca shifted into complex components, engineering services and electronics, generating $3 billion in annual revenue and employing 27,000 people.

  3. 2026 · this year

    Vietnam and China were projected to lead global growth on export complexity

    Harvard's Growth Lab found both economies more complex than their income level would predict, driven by sophisticated and diversified manufacturing, and forecast them to post the fastest per capita growth of any nations over the coming decade.

  4. 2026 · this year

    Indonesia ratified new trade pacts to diversify export markets

    Agreements with the European Union, Peru and Canada came alongside a push into Central Asia and Africa, part of an effort to broaden destinations beyond traditional partners as the country's total exports rose to $282.91 billion in 2025 from $266.52 billion in 2024.

  5. 2026 to date · this year

    Chile tied new lithium contracts to local processing requirements

    Lithium exports reached $2.137 billion between January and April 2026, roughly triple the year-earlier value, as new state lithium contracts mandated domestic refining and technology transfer, with cathode material production targeted to eventually earn far more than raw lithium carbonate exports alone.

  6. 2026 · this year

    Morocco pushed its automotive industry from assembly toward higher-value work

    Policy signals in May 2026 pointed toward process design, local engineering and electrification capabilities, with capacity plans targeting 1.5 million vehicles a year and 80% local integration, backed by a new LFP cathode plant built with South Korean and Chinese partners.

    • Automotive exports reached $4.57 billion
  7. 2026 · this year

    Vietnam moved up the semiconductor value chain into advanced packaging

    FPT opened an advanced testing and packaging plant in Bac Ninh province and Amkor committed more than $1.6 billion to a nearby facility expected to produce 3.6 billion packaged units a year, extending the country's reach across all six stages of the chip value chain.

    • Hana Micron invested about $930 million in Vietnamese chip packaging
  8. 2025 · last year

    Smartphones became India's top export product by value

    Shipments worth around Rs 2.62 lakh crore were led by Apple's iPhone suppliers, including Foxconn, Tata Electronics and Pegatron, as domestic value addition in electronics manufacturing climbed to around 20%, up sharply since the production-linked incentive scheme began in 2020.

    • India approved a new Rs 62,500 crore mobile manufacturing scheme
  9. 2025 · last year

    Saudi Arabia pushed non-oil exports to $82 billion

    The non-oil economy reached 55% of GDP, up from 45% in 2016, as Vision 2030 entered its final phase with 93% of key performance indicators fully or partially met, even though non-oil exports still trailed the programme's own target as a share of non-oil output.

  10. 2025 · last year

    Indonesia multiplied processed nickel export value 26-fold since 2014

    A ban on raw ore exports pushed the export mix from 18% processed materials before 2014 to 99.9% by 2025, with processed nickel exports rising from $1.5 billion to $38.5 billion and giving Indonesia roughly 47% of the global market.

    • The Philippines agreed to expand nickel ore shipments to Indonesia

A timeline taken from the English Wikipedia article “Economic Complexity Index” (CC BY-SA 4.0), the only source the Atlas consulted for it.