- Indicators
- 4
- Leaders
- 10placeholder ratings
- Like it
- 7capabilities
- Developments
- 39
What Quantum Computing is, and how it is measured
The capacity to build and operate quantum computers, hardware platforms, error correction, and the algorithms and software that will extract advantage from them.
Indicators
- Research publication share in quantum computing
- Quantum computing patent families
- Operational quantum processors and qubit scale
- Quantum startup investment
The nations that lead in Quantum Computing
These ratings stand in until the capability is rated.
| # | Nation | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | AAA |
| 2 | Japan | AA |
| 3 | United States | AA |
| 4 | China | A |
| 5 | India | A |
| 6 | Germany | A |
| 7 | Netherlands | BBB |
| 8 | Sweden | BBB |
| 9 | Australia | BB |
| 10 | Singapore | BB |
The capabilities most like Quantum Computing
Likeness, from 0 to 1, as the Atlas measures it.
How Quantum Computing came to be
- Governance
- Security
- Technology
- Economy
Historical Developments
Oldest first1926 · 100 years ago
Erwin Schrödinger published the wave equation underlying quantum mechanics
The equation, developed alongside Werner Heisenberg's competing matrix formulation, gave quantum theory its mature mathematical form, laying the physical groundwork more than six decades before anyone proposed computing with it directly.
1980 · 46 years ago
Paul Benioff introduced the quantum Turing machine
Benioff used quantum theory to describe a simplified computer, providing the first formal model of quantum computation. This helped bring the previously separate communities of quantum mechanics and computer science together.
1981 · 45 years ago
Richard Feynman proposed using quantum systems to simulate quantum physics
Faced with exponential overhead when simulating quantum dynamics on digital computers, Richard Feynman argued in a widely cited talk that classical computers would always struggle to simulate quantum mechanical systems and suggested building computers that exploited quantum mechanics directly; Yuri Manin independently proposed that hardware based on quantum phenomena would be more efficient. The conjecture became the founding motivation for building quantum computers and is now credited as the field's conceptual starting point.
1984 · 42 years ago
Charles Bennett and Gilles Brassard applied quantum theory to cryptography, showing quantum key distribution could enhance security
Their paper demonstrated that quantum mechanical effects could be harnessed for information security protocols. It opened quantum information science as a practical field adjacent to quantum computation.
1985 · 41 years ago
David Deutsch formalised the idea of a universal quantum computer
The Oxford physicist described a quantum Turing machine capable of simulating any physical process, providing the theoretical foundation on which later quantum algorithms and complexity results were built.
1985 · 41 years ago
David Deutsch produced Deutsch's algorithm, an early quantum oracle algorithm
The algorithm did not solve a practical problem but showed mathematically that querying a black box with a superposed quantum state yields more information than classical querying. It was the first in a family of oracle algorithms demonstrating quantum parallelism.
1993 · 33 years ago
Bernstein and Vazirani published the Bernstein–Vazirani algorithm
Another oracle algorithm establishing formal separation between quantum and classical query complexity. It extended the theoretical case that quantum computers could extract information faster than classical machines.
1994 · 32 years ago
Peter Shor showed a quantum computer could factor large numbers efficiently
Peter Shor showed that a sufficiently large quantum computer could factor large numbers and compute discrete logarithms in polynomial time, breaking RSA and Diffie–Hellman key exchange, the foundations of widely used public-key cryptography. The result gave quantum computing its first killer application, a problem of genuine practical importance solvable dramatically faster than by any known classical method, drawing broad government and commercial attention and turning an academic curiosity into a strategic technology.
1994 · 32 years ago
Daniel Simon published Simon's algorithm
The algorithm demonstrated exponential quantum speedup for a structured oracle problem. It directly influenced the development of Shor's factoring algorithm the same year.
1994 · 32 years ago
Bill Unruh published a paper doubting the practicality of quantum computers
Unruh questioned whether decoherence would ever permit useful quantum computation. His scepticism framed the error-correction agenda that followed.
1996 · 30 years ago
Lov Grover devised a quantum algorithm offering a quadratic speed-up for search
Working at Bell Labs, Lov Grover showed that a quantum computer could search an unsorted list faster than any classical method, a quadratic speedup that implies symmetric key lengths are effectively halved against quantum attack. It became, alongside Shor's algorithm, one of the two canonical results most often cited to justify building quantum computers at all.
1996 · 30 years ago
Seth Lloyd proved quantum computers could simulate quantum systems without exponential overhead
Lloyd's proof validated Feynman's earlier conjecture that quantum hardware is suited to simulating quantum physics. It established quantum simulation as a rigorous application area.
1998 · 28 years ago
Experimentalists demonstrated a two-qubit quantum computer
The first small-scale working device established the technical feasibility of quantum computation using trapped ions and superconductors. Subsequent experiments increased qubit counts and reduced error rates.
1999 · 27 years ago
Yasunobu Nakamura's team at NEC demonstrated the first superconducting qubit
The Japanese research group showed coherent quantum behaviour in a tiny superconducting circuit, establishing the qubit platform that Google, IBM and China's leading processors all rely on today.
2001 · 25 years ago
Researchers at IBM and Stanford factored 15 into three and five using a seven-qubit computer
The demonstration ran a small instance of Shor's algorithm on a nuclear magnetic resonance quantum computer, the first physical execution of an algorithm that had until then existed only on paper.
2011 · 15 years ago
D-Wave Systems sold the first commercial quantum computer
The Canadian company's quantum annealer, bought by Lockheed Martin, used a different computing approach to the general-purpose machines pursued by most rivals, and its claims of quantum speed-up were contested for years before wider acceptance that some quantum effects were genuinely at work.
2019 · 7 years ago
IBM introduced IBM Quantum System One, a commercial superconducting system
The system marked the packaging of superconducting quantum processors into an integrated commercial product. It signalled the shift from laboratory apparatus to deployable quantum computing platforms.
October 2019 · 7 years ago
Google Quantum AI and NASA claimed the first quantum supremacy on the 54-qubit Sycamore processor
Google reported a calculation performed millions of times faster than the Summit supercomputer, estimated to take classical machines 10,000 years. IBM disputed the claim, arguing the task could be done in about 2.5 days with optimised algorithms, sparking debate over the supremacy threshold.
2020 · 6 years ago
Researchers reported that cosmic rays can decohere quantum systems within milliseconds
The study identified ionising radiation as a source of correlated errors in superconducting qubits. It highlighted an environmental constraint on scaling fault-tolerant hardware.
December 2020 · 6 years ago
USTC implemented boson sampling on 76 photons with the Jiuzhang photonic quantum computer
The Chinese group claimed a classical computer would need 600 million years to generate the samples their processor produced in 20 seconds. It established a second national platform claiming quantum advantage, on photonics rather than superconductors.
Recent Developments
Most recent firstFebruary 2026
Chinese Academy of Sciences announced testing of the rare-earth alloy EuCo2Al9 as a sub-kelvin coolant
The alloy could substitute for helium-3 in cooling quantum computing hardware. The announcement followed DARPA's call for the same capability, indicating parallel national efforts on cryogenic materials.
January 2026
DARPA called for proposals for a sub-kelvin coolant without helium-3
The solicitation targeted a critical supply-chain constraint on scaling quantum hardware, since helium-3 is scarce. It shows cryogenic infrastructure as a bottleneck capability.
Early 2026 · this year
The UAE's Technology Innovation Institute broadened its quantum computing hardware programme
Abu Dhabi's applied research institute continued work across multiple qubit approaches as part of a wider Gulf push to build domestic quantum computing expertise rather than rely solely on hardware and software developed in the United States, Europe or China.
April 2025 · 1 year ago
Governments worldwide pushed cumulative public investment in quantum computing to $10 billion
Global government funding aimed at longer coherence times and lower error rates reached ten billion dollars. The scale of state backing reflected quantum computing's treatment as a strategic national capability.
February 2025 · last year
Microsoft unveiled the Majorana 1 topological qubit chip
The eight-qubit prototype was presented as evidence of a new, more error-resistant type of qubit built from exotic quasiparticles, though independent physicists urged caution given the field's history of retracted claims about the same underlying physics.
- The claim revived scepticism from the physics community
2025 · 1 year ago
Stanford University researchers realised an ambient-condition spin–photon interface nanodevice
A thin layer of molybdenum diselenide integrated on nanostructured silicon coupled electronic and photonic degrees of freedom using structured twisted light. Operation at ambient conditions suggests a path away from cryogenic hardware.
2025 · 1 year ago
Researchers demonstrated networked quantum modules via photonic links and teleported gates
Quantum algorithms were distributed across a photonic network link between trapped-ion modules, and two-qubit gates were teleported between remote nitrogen-vacancy centre registers in diamond. These results pointed towards modular, distributed quantum architectures as a scaling route.
2025 · last year
France's Pasqal expanded international deployment of its neutral-atom quantum computers
New systems went to government and research partners beyond Europe, extending a company founded by, among others, a Nobel laureate in physics into a genuinely international customer base spanning several continents.
2025 · last year
The Global Risk Institute polled experts on the timeline for a code-breaking quantum computer
The Canadian nonprofit's yearly survey of specialists continued to inform how governments and companies plan migration away from vulnerable cryptography, with estimates for a cryptographically relevant quantum computer still spread across a wide range of years.
2025 · last year
Israel continued building out its national quantum computing industry
Companies including Quantum Machines, which makes control hardware for quantum processors, and Classiq, a quantum software firm, expanded internationally, part of a domestic industry that has grown around the country's national quantum initiative and its research universities.
2025 · last year
IBM set out a roadmap to a fault-tolerant machine called Starling
The plan relies on new error-correcting codes intended to cut the number of physical qubits needed per logical qubit, with a large-scale machine targeted for the end of the decade at a new facility in the United States.
2025–2026 · this year
India's National Quantum Mission pushed its quantum computing hub toward higher qubit counts
Hub institutions working across superconducting, photonic and trapped-ion platforms continued government-funded development toward the mission's staged qubit targets, part of an eight-year programme intended to give India an indigenous quantum computing capability rather than dependence on imported systems.
December 2024 · 2 years ago
Google crossed a long-sought error correction threshold with its Willow chip
The 105-qubit superconducting processor showed logical error rates falling as more physical qubits were added to each logical qubit, a long-sought threshold, and ran a benchmark calculation Google said no classical supercomputer could complete in a feasible time.
- The below-threshold result addressed a decades-old worry about scaling
January 2024 · 2 years ago
Researchers using the Sunway supercomputer verified quantum supremacy experiments via tensor network simulation
Exact amplitudes for experimentally generated bitstrings were computed using a multiple-amplitude tensor network contraction algorithm. The work demonstrated a leap in classical simulation capability, tightening the bar for quantum advantage claims.
2024 · 2 years ago
Researchers demonstrated high-threshold, low-overhead fault-tolerant quantum memory
The approaches marked a critical step towards scaling beyond the noisy intermediate-scale quantum era into reliable architectures. Large-scale physical implementation nonetheless remained an engineering challenge.
2024 · 2 years ago
USTC claimed a new quantum advantage with its Zuchongzhi 3.0 processor
The University of Science and Technology of China's 105-qubit superconducting chip ran a random circuit sampling benchmark that Chinese researchers said was many orders of magnitude harder to simulate classically than earlier such results, extending China's quantum hardware programme.
2024–2025 · last year
PsiQuantum's Brisbane quantum computer continued construction under a major government-backed deal
Site work and component development proceeded under a joint commitment from the Australian federal government and the Queensland state government, one of the largest public investments anywhere in a single quantum computing project.
- PsiQuantum pursued parallel projects elsewhere
June 2023 · 3 years ago
IBM computer scientists reported a quantum computer outperforming a supercomputer on a physics problem
IBM claimed better results than a conventional supercomputer for a physics simulation task. The result was presented as evidence of practical utility, though classical machines still outperformed quantum ones across real-world applications as of 2023.
2023 · 3 years ago
Researchers reported a hybrid quantum–classical generative model for molecule design on a quantum annealer
A restricted Boltzmann machine implemented on a commercial annealing device generated novel small molecules with drug-like physicochemical properties. It was an early applied demonstration in drug discovery.
A timeline taken from the English Wikipedia article “Quantum computing” (CC BY-SA 4.0), the only source the Atlas consulted for it.