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Nuclear Forces

The capacity to hold an adversary at risk with survivable nuclear forces: the deployed triad or dyad and the warheads they deliver.

Indicators
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Leaders
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Developments
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Definition

What Nuclear Forces is, and how it is measured

The capacity to hold an adversary at risk with survivable nuclear forces: the deployed triad or dyad and the warheads they deliver.

Indicators

  • Estimated warhead stockpile
  • Delivery systems by leg
  • Deployed strategic warheads
Leaders

The nations that lead in Nuclear Forces

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These ratings stand in until the capability is rated.

#NationRating
1FranceAAA
2ChinaAA
3United StatesAA
4FinlandA
5SwedenA
6AustraliaA
7SingaporeBBB
8ItalyBBB
9IsraelBB
10DenmarkBB
Related

The capabilities most like Nuclear Forces

Likeness, from 0 to 1, as the Atlas measures it.

Developments

How Nuclear Forces came to be

  • Geopolitical
  • Governance
  • Security
  • Technology
  • Economy
  • Society

Historical Developments

Oldest first
  1. 1939–45 · 87 years ago

    The United States, United Kingdom and Canada developed the first nuclear weapons through the Manhattan Project

    The Manhattan Project, a wartime collaboration led by the United States with British and Canadian participation, produced the first fission weapons. It established that a nuclear arsenal requires a large scientific-industrial complex for fissile material, either reactors and reprocessing for plutonium or uranium enrichment facilities.

  2. 1940–1996 · 86 years ago

    The Brookings Institution audited US nuclear weapons spending at $11.9 trillion

    The audit found the United States spent $11.9 trillion in present-day terms on nuclear weapons programmes between 1940 and 1996, of which 57 per cent went on delivery systems. Only about 7 per cent, $820 billion, was spent on the warheads themselves, showing that delivery dominates the cost of nuclear force.

  3. 1945 · 81 years ago

    The United States used the first nuclear weapons in war

    On 6 August 1945 a uranium gun-type fission bomb, Little Boy, was dropped on Hiroshima, and on 9 August a plutonium implosion bomb, Fat Man, on Nagasaki, killing an estimated 100,000 to 246,000 people, mostly civilians, and prompting Japan's surrender days later. These remain the only combat uses of nuclear weapons and demonstrated both weapon designs in operational form, delivered by the simplest method, a gravity bomb from aircraft.

  4. 1945–2025 · 81 years ago

    Nuclear-armed states conducted more than 2,000 nuclear detonations for testing and demonstration

    Since the atomic bombings of 1945, nuclear weapons have been detonated over 2,000 times for testing and demonstration purposes. Testing was the principal means by which states validated warhead designs and signalled capability.

  5. 1945–1980 · 81 years ago

    Nuclear powers carried out over 500 atmospheric nuclear tests worldwide

    More than 500 atmospheric weapons tests were conducted at sites around the world between 1945 and 1980. The resulting fallout became a major driver of public opposition and of the treaty regime that pushed testing underground.

  6. early 1950s · 76 years ago

    The Livermore Laboratory planned the gigaton-class Gnomon and Sundial bombs

    In the early 1950s the US Livermore Laboratory drew up plans to test two massive devices, Gnomon at one gigaton and Sundial at ten gigatons of TNT equivalent. Neither was built, but they mark the upper conceptual limit of warhead yield explored during the arms race.

  7. 1950s · 76 years ago

    The USSR fielded the first partially thermonuclear weapons using external boosting

    External boosting allowed the Soviet Union to deploy the first partially thermonuclear weapons. The technique is now obsolete because it demands a spherical bomb geometry, adequate only in the 1950s when bomber aircraft were the sole delivery vehicles.

  8. 1952 · 74 years ago

    The United States detonated the first thermonuclear device

    The Ivy Mike test in the Marshall Islands used fusion to reach a yield far beyond any fission weapon, opening a race to build deliverable hydrogen bombs that the Soviet Union matched within a few years.

  9. 1954 · 72 years ago

    The Castle Bravo test exposed fallout dangers by contaminating the Lucky Dragon

    The 1954 Castle Bravo hydrogen bomb test at the Pacific Proving Grounds contaminated the crew and catch of a Japanese fishing boat. It first drew broad public attention to radioactive fallout and catalysed anti-nuclear movements, including Japan's unified council against atomic and hydrogen bombs formed the same year.

  10. 1955 · 71 years ago

    Bertrand Russell and eleven scientists issued the Russell–Einstein Manifesto in London

    Issued on 9 July 1955, the manifesto was signed by eleven preeminent intellectuals including Albert Einstein days before his death. It launched the movement that led to the first Pugwash Conference on Science and World Affairs in July 1957.

  11. 1957 · 69 years ago

    The Soviet Union launched the R-7, the first intercontinental ballistic missile

    The R-7 Semyorka, best known for launching Sputnik months later, gave the Soviet Union a missile able to strike the continental United States directly, ending the geographic protection distance had previously provided.

  12. 1957 · 69 years ago

    The United Nations established the International Atomic Energy Agency

    The IAEA was created in 1957 under UN mandate to encourage peaceful nuclear technology, provide international safeguards against misuse and facilitate safety measures. It became the principal institution monitoring the boundary between civil and weapons-related nuclear activity.

  13. 1958 · 68 years ago

    The Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament held the first Aldermaston March

    At Easter 1958 several thousand people marched four days from Trafalgar Square to the Atomic Weapons Research Establishment at Aldermaston. The marches continued into the late 1960s, drawing tens of thousands and becoming the emblem of British anti-nuclear protest.

  14. 1960 · 66 years ago

    France conducted its first nuclear test in the Sahara

    Gerboise Bleue, detonated in French Algeria, made France the fourth nuclear-armed state and the basis for an independent deterrent that later underpinned its withdrawal from NATO's integrated military command.

  15. 1960 · 66 years ago

    The United States Navy deployed the first ballistic missile submarine patrol

    USS George Washington carried out the first Polaris patrol, adding a concealed, mobile sea-based leg to nuclear forces that was far harder for an adversary to locate and destroy than land-based missiles or bombers.

  16. 1960s–1970s · 66 years ago

    The United States and Soviet Union conducted peaceful nuclear explosions

    Both superpowers carried out a number of peaceful nuclear explosions during the 1960s and 1970s for civil engineering and resource purposes. Their definitions and limits were codified in the Peaceful Nuclear Explosions Treaty of 1976.

  17. 1962 · 64 years ago

    The United States discovered the nuclear electromagnetic pulse during the Starfish Prime test

    The 1962 Starfish Prime high-altitude test produced an unexpected effect subsequently named the nuclear electromagnetic pulse. The discovery added a new category of weapon effect relevant to targeting and to hardening of military systems.

  18. 1962 · 64 years ago

    Linus Pauling won the Nobel Peace Prize for opposing atmospheric testing

    Pauling received the 1962 Nobel Peace Prize for his campaign against atmospheric nuclear testing, and the Ban the Bomb movement spread. Popular pressure contributed to the ratification of the Partial Test Ban Treaty the following year.

  19. 1963 · 63 years ago

    Signatory states concluded the Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty

    The 1963 treaty restricted all nuclear testing to underground detonations in order to prevent contamination from fallout. It was the first major constraint on how nuclear forces could be developed and validated.

  20. 1964 · 62 years ago

    China conducted its first nuclear test at Lop Nur

    The test made China the fifth state to demonstrate a nuclear weapon, following a programme pursued despite the Sino-Soviet split, and laid the foundation for its long-standing declaratory policy of no first use.

  21. 1964 · 62 years ago

    African states agreed the Treaty of Pelindaba nuclear-weapon-free zone

    The Treaty of Pelindaba prohibits nuclear weapons in many African countries. It is one of the regional nuclear-weapon-free zones that constrain where warheads may be produced or deployed.

  22. 1965 · 61 years ago

    The United States lost a nuclear weapon in the 1965 Philippine Sea A-4 crash

    A Skyhawk attack aircraft carrying a nuclear weapon fell into the sea in 1965. The Pentagon did not reveal the loss of the one-megaton bomb until 1989.

  23. 1966 · 60 years ago

    The United States Air Force suffered the Palomares B-52 crash and plutonium contamination

    In January 1966 a B-52G carrying nuclear weapons collided with a KC-135 tanker during mid-air refuelling off Spain, killing the tanker crew. Non-nuclear explosives in two weapons detonated on impact, contaminating a two-square-kilometre area with radioactive plutonium.

  24. 1967 · 59 years ago

    Latin American and Caribbean states agreed the Treaty of Tlatelolco

    The 1967 treaty prohibited any production or deployment of nuclear weapons in Latin America and the Caribbean. It was the first regional nuclear-weapon-free zone covering a populated region.

  25. 1968 · 58 years ago

    Signatory states concluded the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

    The NPT restricted the activities signatories could undertake, allowing transfer of non-military nuclear technology without fear of proliferation. One explicit condition requires all signatories to pursue negotiations in good faith towards complete disarmament.

  26. 1970 · 56 years ago

    The United States fielded the first missile carrying multiple independently targetable warheads

    The Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile entered service able to strike several targets from a single launch, multiplying the number of warheads a given missile force represented without adding new missiles.

  27. 1974 · 52 years ago

    India carried out a nuclear test outside the recognised nuclear-weapon states

    The test at Pokhran, described by New Delhi as a peaceful nuclear explosion, was the first by any country outside the group defined by the Non-Proliferation Treaty, and shaped decades of subsequent non-proliferation policy.

  28. 1980s · 46 years ago

    The US Army procured neutron warheads for tactical artillery and short-range missiles

    Because high-energy neutrons penetrate dense matter such as tank armour, neutron warheads were procured in the 1980s as tactical payloads for 200 mm W79 and 155 mm W82 artillery shells and short-range missile forces. They were never deployed in Europe.

  29. 1980 · 46 years ago

    The US Air Force experienced the Damascus Titan missile explosion

    In September 1980 a Titan missile equipped with a nuclear warhead exploded in its silo at Damascus, Arkansas. It is among the best-known accidents illustrating the safety risks of maintaining deployed strategic forces.

  30. 1981 · 45 years ago

    Israel bombed the Osirak reactor in Iraq

    Israel struck a nuclear reactor under construction at Osirak in 1981, describing it as an attempt to halt Iraqi nuclear arms ambitions. A comparable strike was carried out against a reactor under construction in Syria in 2007.

  31. 1986 · 40 years ago

    The global nuclear stockpile peaked at more than 64,000 weapons

    The total worldwide stockpile reached its maximum of over 64,000 warheads in 1986 before declining to roughly 9,600 by 2025. The peak marks the high point of Cold War force accumulation, after which arms control and unilateral reductions took effect.

Recent Developments

Most recent first
  1. February 2026 · 6 months ago

    The New START treaty approached expiry without a successor agreement

    The last treaty capping deployed US and Russian strategic warheads and launchers was due to lapse, with no negotiations underway on a replacement. Both sides signalled intent to observe its central numerical limits informally rather than extend a binding framework.

    • Arms control specialists warned of an unconstrained era
  2. December 2025 · 8 months ago

    China continued loading missiles into its new silo fields

    US defence assessments described ongoing fielding of intercontinental ballistic missiles across silo complexes built earlier in the decade in Gansu and Inner Mongolia, part of an expansion projected to bring China's warhead stockpile towards roughly 1,000 by 2030.

  3. October 2025 · 1 year ago

    Donald Trump called for renewed nuclear weapons testing

    On 30 October 2025 the US President called for renewed nuclear testing to keep pace with Russia and China. It was not made clear whether he meant nuclear explosive testing or testing of delivery systems for warheads.

  4. Early 2025 · last year

    North Korea displayed a nuclear-powered submarine under construction

    Kim Jong Un was shown at a shipyard beside a large submarine hull that state media said would be nuclear-powered, a step beyond the diesel-electric boats North Korea has used to trial submarine-launched ballistic missiles.

    • Outside analysts could not confirm the design
  5. 2025 · last year

    The United States restructured the Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile programme

    Following a cost overrun that breached statutory limits the previous year, the Air Force revised the programme intended to replace the ageing Minuteman III fleet, concentrating changes on launch-control and silo infrastructure rather than the missile itself.

  6. Late 2025 · last year

    China advanced construction of its next-generation ballistic missile submarine

    Commercial satellite imagery of the Huludao shipyard showed continued work consistent with the Type 096 programme, expected to succeed the current Type 094 fleet and carry a longer-range submarine-launched missile once it enters service.

  7. December 2024 · 2 years ago

    Pakistan saw its main missile developer sanctioned by the United States

    Washington sanctioned the National Development Complex and associated suppliers, citing concern over long-range ballistic missile work. US officials said the programme's trajectory could eventually extend beyond the India-focused deterrent Pakistan has traditionally maintained.

  8. November 2024 · 2 years ago

    Russia made the first combat use of its new Oreshnik missile

    The intermediate-range ballistic missile struck a defence facility at Dnipro in Ukraine. President Putin said the weapon, capable of carrying nuclear or conventional warheads, was fielded outside the limits of the lapsed Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty.

    • Ukraine and allied governments called the strike an escalation
  9. October 2024 · 2 years ago

    North Korea test-fired the solid-fuel Hwasong-19 intercontinental ballistic missile

    State media described the missile as the country's most powerful long-range system yet. Its solid-fuel design shortens launch preparation time compared with North Korea's older liquid-fuel missiles, improving survivability against pre-emptive strikes.

  10. September 2024 · 2 years ago

    Satellite imagery pointed to a failed Sarmat missile test at Plesetsk

    Open-source analysts identified a large crater at the Sarmat heavy intercontinental ballistic missile's silo complex, consistent with an explosion during launch preparations. The missile, intended to replace the Soviet-era Voevoda, has had a troubled test record.

  11. August 2024 · 2 years ago

    India commissioned INS Arighat, its second ballistic missile submarine

    The Arihant-class boat joined the fleet alongside its sister vessel, strengthening the sea-based leg of India's nuclear triad. Analysts noted that patrols remain far less frequent than those of the established nuclear-armed navies.

  12. 2024 · 2 years ago

    Russia intensified nuclear threats and reportedly planned nuclear weapons in orbit

    As of 2024 Russia escalated nuclear threats over Ukraine and was reported to be planning to place nuclear weapons in orbit, which would breach the 1967 Outer Space Treaty. This would represent a new class of delivery basing beyond the established triad.

  13. 2024 · 2 years ago

    China began a significant expansion of its nuclear arsenal

    China is significantly enlarging its nuclear forces, with projections of more than 1,000 warheads by 2030 and up to 1,500 by 2035. The build-up alters the long-standing bipolar structure of global nuclear force.

  14. 2019 · 7 years ago

    The US Joint Chiefs of Staff published the Doctrine for Joint Nuclear Operations

    The June 2019 Pentagon publication stated that integration of nuclear weapons employment with conventional and special operations forces is essential to mission success. It formalised the blending of nuclear and conventional force planning.

  15. 2019 · 7 years ago

    Russia and the United States retained over 90% of the world's warheads

    As of early 2019, more than 90 per cent of the world's 13,865 nuclear weapons were owned by Russia and the United States. The concentration reflects the enduring Cold War legacy of the two largest arsenals.

  16. 2017 · 9 years ago

    122 countries adopted the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons

    In 2017, 122 states, mainly in the Global South, voted to adopt the TPNW, which entered into force in 2021. No nuclear-armed state joined, but the treaty created a formal legal norm against possession.

  17. January 2016 · 10 years ago

    North Korea claimed to have tested a fusion weapon

    North Korea announced in January 2016 that it had tested a fusion weapon, though the claim is disputed. It marked the regime's assertion of thermonuclear rather than merely fission capability.

  18. 2009 · 17 years ago

    Barack Obama advocated a world without nuclear weapons in Prague

    In an April 2009 speech in Prague the US President endorsed the goal of a world without nuclear weapons. It gave political weight to post-Cold War abolition campaigns such as Global Zero.

  19. 2006 · 20 years ago

    Former Soviet republics of Central Asia established a Central Asian Nuclear Weapon Free Zone

    In 2006 the Central Asian states created a nuclear-weapon-free zone prohibiting nuclear weapons on their territory. It extended the zone framework into the post-Soviet space.

  20. 2006 · 20 years ago

    North Korea conducted its first nuclear test

    The underground test at Punggye-ri followed North Korea's withdrawal from the Non-Proliferation Treaty three years earlier. The declared yield was small and disputed, but the test confirmed a warhead programme built largely outside independent verification.

  21. 2003 · 23 years ago

    The United States invaded Iraq citing alleged pursuit of nuclear arms

    One stated casus belli for the 2003 Iraq War was a US accusation that Iraq was actively pursuing nuclear weapons. The programme was soon discovered to have been discontinued.

  22. January 1998 · 28 years ago

    The United Nations Secretariat established the Office for Disarmament Affairs

    UNODA was created in January 1998 under Secretary-General Kofi Annan's UN reform plan, presented to the General Assembly in July 1997. It became the UN's institutional focus for disarmament, including nuclear weapons.

  23. 1998 · 28 years ago

    The US Department of Energy disclosed abandoned work on a pure fusion weapon

    In 1998 the Department of Energy revealed that the United States had made a substantial past investment in developing a pure fusion weapon. It stated that no credible design had resulted and that the US neither possesses nor is developing such a weapon.

  24. 1998 · 28 years ago

    India and Pakistan tested nuclear weapons openly within weeks of each other

    India's Pokhran-II series and Pakistan's Chagai-I tests turned two long-suspected weapons programmes into declared nuclear arsenals, prompting Western sanctions and cementing an overt nuclear rivalry in South Asia that persists today.

  25. 1996 · 30 years ago

    The United States adopted a policy of targeting terrorists with nuclear weapons

    Since 1996 the United States has permitted the targeting of its nuclear weapons at terrorists armed with weapons of mass destruction. The shift responded to arguments that post-Cold War threats required a strategy distinct from classical deterrence.

  26. 1996 · 30 years ago

    The International Court of Justice issued an advisory opinion on the legality of nuclear weapons

    The ICJ found that use or threat of use of nuclear weapons would generally be contrary to the rules of international law applicable in armed conflict. It declined to rule on extreme circumstances where the survival of a state was at stake.

  27. 1996 · 30 years ago

    Many nations signed the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty

    The CTBT prohibits all testing of nuclear weapons, including explosions for peaceful purposes. It requires ratification by 44 specified states to enter into force; as of 2012 eight of these had still not ratified, leaving the treaty stalled.

  28. 1991 · 35 years ago

    The United States and Soviet Union adopted the Presidential Nuclear Initiatives

    The 1991 Presidential Nuclear Initiatives were non-binding reciprocal announcements that reduced deployed forces, especially tactical weapons. They sit alongside binding treaties such as INF, START I, SORT and New START in the arms control architecture.

  29. 1990 · 36 years ago

    The United States enacted the Radiation Exposure Compensation Act

    The 1990 Act made the United States the only nation compensating nuclear test victims. More than $1.38 billion in compensation had been approved as of March 2009.

  30. 1986 · 40 years ago

    Mikhail Gorbachev proposed a three-stage plan for abolishing nuclear weapons

    In January 1986 the Soviet leader publicly proposed abolishing the world's nuclear weapons by the end of the twentieth century in three stages. The proposal framed superpower disarmament diplomacy in the final Cold War years.

A timeline taken from the English Wikipedia article “Nuclear weapon” (CC BY-SA 4.0), the only source the Atlas consulted for it.